Hole-in-One Probability Calculator
Calculate hole-in-one probability based on handicap, distance, and weather
⛳ Conditions
Enter a handicap between 0 and 54
A par 3 is typically 120-200 yards
3.0 m/s
0 = calm, 15 = strong wind
Hole-in-one probability
1 / 12,500
The odds of a 15-handicap golfer acing a 150-yard par 3
📊 Contributing Factors
Skill impact
60%
Distance impact
25%
Weather impact
10%
Green impact
5%
📈 Hole-in-One Statistics
Average amateur golfer
1 / 12,500
Low-handicap golfer (0-5)
1 / 5,000
Professional golfer
1 / 2,500
PGA Tour professional
1 / 3,000
Lifetime odds (average golfer)
1 / 12,000
Two aces in a single round
1 / 67,000,000
💡 Hole-in-One Tips
- 🎯 Accuracy matters most: Direction beats distance every time
- ⛳ Know the exact yardage: Use GPS or a laser rangefinder
- 🌬️ Read the wind: Stronger wind means lower odds
- 🏌️ Club selection is key: Pick a club you can swing comfortably at 70-80%
- 🎪 Read the green: Choose a landing spot that accounts for backspin
- 🧘 Stay composed: Keep your normal swing and do not tense up